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AVALONPLUS

AVALONPLUS is a rule-based, end-of-day (EOD) trading strategy for the S&P 500, traded via Micro E-mini (MES) or E-mini (ES) futures. Futures only — a CFD on the index has a larger weekend gap and charges daily financing. Signals are fully mechanical (trend-following longs, counter-trend shorts, momentum longs), about 2-5 trades per year. Public methodology, delivered as an Android app with a backtester, charts, a risk visualizer and a personal trade journal. All performance figures are hypotheti

Their llms.txt

The beginning of the file, from our validated copy saved 2026-10-23T14:25:24.145Z. Cached copy · Source on trading-garden.com

# AVALONPLUS

> AVALONPLUS is a rule-based, end-of-day (EOD) trading strategy for the S&P 500, traded via Micro E-mini (MES) or E-mini (ES) futures. Futures only — a CFD on the index has a larger weekend gap and charges daily financing. Signals are fully mechanical (trend-following longs, counter-trend shorts, momentum longs), about 2-5 trades per year. Public methodology, delivered as an Android app with a backtester, charts, a risk visualizer and a personal trade journal. All performance figures are hypothetical backtests (1963-2026), not a promise of future results; trading futures involves substantial risk of loss. Unless a figure says otherwise, every published number is computed with the backtester's LED settings in this state: Transaction Costs ON, Interest on Cash ON, Pos. Size 50/50 OFF (50/50 figures say so), Annual Adjustments OFF (before tax), Normalize Positions ON - the app's default sizing limit, which stops a position growing beyond 500 MES contracts.

One system, two sizing modes, same rules and the same signals - only the number of contracts differs. FULL SIZE: every position is sized on the whole account; fastest compounding, largest drawdowns; possible from $10,000. 50/50: half the account sizes each position, the other half stays in cash; about a third of the drawdown and ahead of a buy-and-hold S&P 500 ETF in every window tested; needs about $25,000 (one contract becomes possible at $14,000, but only from $25,000 does the account survive every entry point in the worst case tested). It is one switch in the app, changeable at any time. Unless a figure says otherwise, published performance figures describe FULL SIZE.

Two audiences (a 2x2 of budget x experience): (1) building wealth from a small stake (~$10,000, via compounding) and (2) a rules-based, low-correlation component (sleeve) in a larger portfolio ($100,000+, judged on risk-adjusted return). Futures literacy is a prerequisite; learn the mechanics and practise on a demo/paper account before trading live.

## Key pages
- [Homepage / overview](https://trading-garden.com/): the core question, head-to-head vs the S&P 500 total return, risks, how much capital you need, who it suits, and an FAQ.
- [S&P 500 trading strategies compared](https://trading-garden.com/sp500-trading-strategies.html): six published rule sets (SMA 200, Golden Cross 50/200, Faber 10-month momentum, RSI(2) pullback, Sell in May, 52-week high breakout) and AVALONPLUS run through the SAME backtester on the same price series, with the same costs and the same $25,000 starting capital. Four windows (last 3, 5, 10 years and 2000-today), with and without reinvesting, plus a Long Only (ETF) reference row from the same run. Each rule is position-sized by its own worst single-trade loss (max MAE) plus three points of gap buffer, so the table compares rules and not risk assumptions. Ranked by a published score: return per unit of capital risk 30, CAGR 20, DD worst entry 20, profit factor 15, recovery tim
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